| Gold drops when euro weakens Original Source Link: (May no longer be active) http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000081&sid=aX41XUi5MljY&refer=australiahttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000081&sid=aX41XUi5MljY&refer=australia
Gold Prices Decline in New York as Euro Weakens Against Dollar
May 26 (Bloomberg) -- Gold prices fell in New York for the first day in three as the euro weakened to a seven-month low against the dollar, eroding the appeal of precious metals as an alternative to U.S. assets.
An opinion poll showed increasing French opposition to the European Union constitution before a referendum on May 29. A Merrill Lynch & Co. survey published May 17 showed 71 percent of European fund managers predict a defeat would weaken the euro. Gold has dropped 4.7 percent this year as the 25-nation euro shed 7.7 percent.
``I'm looking for gold to go lower because the euro just gave everything up,'' said Tony Roggina, a trader at VIT Trading Inc. in New York. ``The dollar is making a nice comeback, and that's going to put pressure on gold.''
Gold futures for June delivery fell 90 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $418 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The price is little changed this week. A futures contract is an obligation to sell or buy a commodity at a set price by a specific date.
The poll by TNS-Sofres for Le Monde, RTL and LCI television said opposition rose 1 percentage point to 54 percent. Nicolas Sarkozy, head of President Jacques Chirac's UMP party, told Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin the campaign is lost, the Times of London reported today. A spokesman for Sarkozy denied the story.
The EU constitution, intended to streamline decision-making following the union's expansion to 25 members from 15 last year, would create a permanent president and foreign minister and increase the role of the European Parliament.
`Weaken the Euro'
``The French are expected to vote down the constitution, so that's going to weaken the euro and put pressure on gold initially,'' said Dennis Eich, a trader at Chicago-based brokerage Peregrine Financial Group Inc. ``When that's over with, gold's ready for a rebound.''
Gold has moved almost in lockstep with the euro's performance against the dollar in the past three months at a correlation coefficient of 0.93. The maximum reading is 1. The coefficient measures the degree in which the two variables move in unison.
Prices that declined in the previous three weeks to a three- month low, are attracting jewelers, Eich said. ``Now is when jewelers come into the market and accumulate for Christmas,'' he said.
Gold refineries in Switzerland are processing 1.5 million ounces of the metal a week, a record, said Ian MacDonald, managing director of precious metals trading in New York at International Assets Holding Corp. The metal is being refined into gold bars and sent to buyers in the Middle East and India, he said. ``That's where the demand is,'' MacDonald said.
India, which buys a quarter of the world's gold, likes to ``buy on good setbacks,'' Eich said.
Jewelry makers in 2004 accounted for 68 percent of world demand, according to figures from London-based consultant GFMS Ltd. Last Updated: May 26, 2005 13:59 EDT
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