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Sluggish job growth threatens recovery { February 10 2004 }

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   http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/486356.cms

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/486356.cms

Sluggish US job growth threatens recovery

AGENCIES[ TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 10, 2004 03:58:12 AM ]

WASHINGTON : Another month of disappointing job growth in America has sown a seed of worry among analysts that the fragile economic rebound may not be strong enough to last. For months now, economists have been forecasting an improvement in employment.

Each month, they’ve been disappointed, and the news from January was no different. While 112,000 jobs were created and the unemployment rate dropped to 5.6% — the lowest in two years — forecasters, traders and economists had been expecting much better.

Most had hoped to see payrolls jump by 150,000, with the more optimistic estimating gains of 300,000.

“It’s just flat-out disappointing. We’re just not creating many jobs,” said Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics in California . He worries the sluggish employment growth could eat into consumer confidence just as the economic recovery begins to gather steam — undermining the shopping strength that helped pull America out of the recession.

“Unless there is more job creation and faster wage growth, it is difficult to see how real consumer spending, (which makes up) 70% of the economy, can continue to sustain strong economic growth,” Mr Wood said. Healthy 4% GDP growth in Q4 ’03 and sizzling 8.2% growth the previous quarter had spurred hopes that real hiring was just around the corner. President Bush promised summer tax cuts would ease unemployment, which looms as a key issue in the November elections. Democrats blame Mr Bush’s economic policies for the loss of 2.2m jobs since he took office.



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