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Firms still slashing jobs

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   http://www.msnbc.com/news/962192.asp

http://www.msnbc.com/news/962192.asp

Firms still slashing jobs
Labor Secretary Elaine Chao explains the
mixed employment picture on CNBC Friday

ASSOCIATED PRESS
WASHINGTON, Sept. 5 - Despite the civilian unemployment rate sliding down to 6.1 percent in August, the government reported Friday that companies slashed payrolls by 93,000, raising new concerns that the fragile economic recovery could falter.

AUGUST WAS THE seventh consecutive month of cuts in payrolls, a survey released by the Labor Department showed, indicating continuing weakness in the job market. Analysts had expected companies to add 12,000 new jobs.
At the same time, the overall seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell from 6.2 percent to 6.1 percent of the labor force, as reflected by a survey of U.S. households.
Stock prices fell in early trading Friday on news of the job losses.
The survey of businesses showed that job cuts were heavy again in manufacturing, a sector that has suffered the brunt of the economic downturn that began in March 2001. President Bush on Monday announced that a Commerce Department assistant secretary post was being changed to focus on revitalizing that part of the economy.
Friday’s reports no longer reflected a cyclical economy trying to add jobs after a recession - “which is depressing,” said Sung Won Sohn, chief economist at Wells Fargo. Analysts had expected companies to add some jobs last month.
Deeper concerns now are focused on long-term structural problems in the economy, such as a flood of U.S. jobs going overseas. “We have simply seen the tip of the iceberg,” Sohn said. “I think it will get worse, not better.”
At the White House, spokesman Scott McClellan said, “The economy is growing but we want to see it grow even faster.” He said jobs are one of the last things to grow as the economy improves.
Some reports estimate 5 million jobs - many high-paying - will be lost to other countries by 2015. As the economy grows, demand is being filled from overseas, Sohn said. Also, because of that increasing global competition, businesses are holding down costs by not hiring.
If hiring doesn’t improve, the recovery could be in jeopardy because consumers worried about their job prospects will stop spending. That’s been the driving force in the U.S. economy.
Hiring in health care and construction helped offset losses in factories and other industries, such as information, professional and business services and government, Friday’s report said.
Last month’s power blackout in the Northeast and Midwest was unlikely to have affected either of the monthly surveys, Labor Department analysts said.
Labor Department analysts believe the survey of businesses provides a more reliable picture of the jobs market than the household survey. The payroll report is based on a larger sample and estimates “are regularly anchored to” counts derived from employment insurance tax records, said Kathleen P. Utgoff, Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner.

Last month, the number of people in the labor force remained largely unchanged, with just 10,000 giving up their job searches. The labor force is comprised of those working and looking for work.
Nearly 2 million people in August were unemployed for 27 weeks or more, representing nearly 22 percent of all jobless workers. Those figures were similar to July numbers.
Recent data indicate an improving economy, yet favorable conditions have yet to trickle down to the jobs market. Businesses still are cautious about hiring and adding new positions, the major factor holding back the economy.
That could spell problems for Bush’s re-election next year, with polls showing the economy as the top concern for likely voters, replacing terrorism and Iraq.
With other parts of the economy on the mend, economists believe the Federal Reserve will hold a key short-term interest rate steady at a 45-year low of 1 percent when it meets on Sept. 16. If the job market doesn’t turn around, however, analysts don’t rule out a Fed rate reduction down the road.

© 2003 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


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