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Dollar tumbles low against euro { October 8 2003 }

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Dollar tumbles to fresh low against the euro
By Ivar Simensen in London
Published: October 8 2003 11:19 | Last Updated: October 8 2003 11:19

Growing concerns about the massive current account deficit in the US sent the dollar tumbling to a fresh three-month low against the euro on Wednesday morning in London while it came off Tuesday's three-year low against the yen after Japan warned of further intervention in the currency market.

The dollar tumbled to $1.1839 against the euro in London early in the session, its weakest level since June's all-time lows of $1.193. The belief is that the dollar would have to fall sharply in order to adjust the US current account deficit, which is expected to reach $570bn this year.

By mid morning the dollar had made up some ground to trade at $1.1796 against the greenback.

The downbeat dollar sentiment dominated the market with analysts saying signs of growth in the US economy were also a negative for the US dollar, as it would widen the deficit. Comments from several European finance ministers on Tuesday, expressing little concern about the current strength of the euro, did little to stem developments.

The dollar dropped below Y110 against the yen for the first time in three years and hit a low of Y109.41. However, the yen eased slightly after Sadakazu Tanigaki, Japan's finance minister, said recent dollar-yen moves had been too rapid and that the government, through the Bank of Japan, would "decisively intervene" to stem fast and speculative moves in the currency market.

The comments took the yen off its strongest levels and stood at Y109.83 against the dollar in mid-morning trade in London.

The Australian dollar rallied against its US counterpart after the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged at 4.75 per cent, one of the highest interest rates levels in the developed industrial economies and well above the 1 per cent interest rate in the US.

The interest rate has been held steady for more than a year, helping push the Aussie dollar up 23 per cent since the start of January.

The Aussie dollar traded at $0.6905 in morning trade in London after hitting a high of $0.6923 in overnight trade, its highest level in nearly six years.

The Canadian dollar also benefited strongly from the US dollar sell-off. The Canadian dollar rose to C$1.3263, a seven-year high, before easing back to C$1.3318 on Wednesday morning.

Sterling eased off fresh three-month highs against the dollar and fell versus the euro as traders were unwilling to committ themselves ahead of the UK interest rate decision on Thursday. Although the Bank of England is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.5 per cent, the next move is expected to be upwards. Sterling stood at $1.6631 against the dollar, off Tuesday's peak at $1.1677, and fell to £0.7114 against the euro.




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