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Imf says us too upbeat { August 27 2003 }

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   http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/business/business-imf-draft-deficit.html

http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/business/business-imf-draft-deficit.html

August 27, 2003
IMF Report Says U.S. Too Upbeat on Budget, Lacks Plan
By REUTERS

Filed at 6:05 a.m. ET

MILAN (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund is set to reproach the U.S. in its next World Economic Outlook for being too optimistic in its assumptions on state spending and revenues and lacking a medium-term budget consolidation plan, according to a summary of a draft IMF report leaked to Reuters.

``It criticizes the U.S. government's excessively optimistic assumptions regarding the development of overall state spending and revenues and the lack of a medium term concept to consolidate budgets and reform the social insurance system,'' the draft says.

It also says monetary policymakers in industrial nations should continue to support the economic upturn.

It urges the European Central Bank to ``take account of the fact that negative developments in individual countries can potentially influence the entire currency area.''

It does not mention Germany in this context. But the draft also cuts the IMF's 2003 outlook for Europe's largest economy to zero percent from its April prediction of 0.5 percent growth.

It sees Germany's budget deficit reaching 3.9 percent of GDP in both 2003 and 2004, above the European Union's limit of three percent of GDP.

The draft World Economic Outlook is due to be submitted at the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Dubai in September.


Copyright 2003 Reuters Ltd.


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