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Bustamante leads poll

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   http://www.ajc.com/news/content/news/0803/24recall.html

http://www.ajc.com/news/content/news/0803/24recall.html

Bustamante leads; Simon drops out

By MARK Z. BARABAK
Los Angeles Times

California Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante holds a wide lead over Arnold Schwarzenegger in the race to succeed Gov. Gray Davis, according to a new Los Angeles Times Poll.

As the sole major Democrat running to replace Davis -- should the incumbent be ousted on Oct. 7 -- Bustamante enjoys the support of 35 percent of likely voters.

Schwarzenegger received 22 percent support, followed by three fellow Republicans: state Sen. Tom McClintock with 12 percent, businessman Peter Ueberroth with 7 percent and Bill Simon -- the GOP's 2002 gubernatorial nominee -- with 6 percent.

Simon abruptly quit the race Saturday, after the poll was completed. He said "there are too many Republicans" running and expressing concern his candidacy would undercut GOP efforts to oust Davis and replace the Democrat with one of their own.

Three other gubernatorial contenders who have won prominent mention lag far behind the major-party hopefuls, according to the Times Poll. Independent Arianna Huffington received just 3 percent support from likely voters and the Green Party's Peter Camejo drew 1 percent, tying him with Hustler magazine publisher Larry Flynt.

Under the idiosyncratic rules that govern the recall vote, all 135 candidates from assorted parties are listed on the same ballot. The candidate who gets the most votes will become governor -- if Davis is kicked out of office, which is the first matter to be decided in the Oct. 7 election.

The Times Poll, completed Thursday night, found that 50 percent of likely voters favored the recall of Davis and 45 percent were opposed, with 5 percent undecided.

Likely voters do not appear happy about their options. Of the leading contenders to replace Davis, only Bustamante and Ueberroth are seen in a largely positive light, though only half of likely voters indicated they knew enough about Ueberroth to make a decision. Others are even lesser known or, in the case of Flynt, Huffington and Simon, are seen in mostly negative terms.

Schwarzenegger has a mixed image among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable impression of the movie star and 44 percent saying they have a negative impression.



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