| Oil reaches record 58 on supply concerns Original Source Link: (May no longer be active) http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&refer=us&sid=aUrnId2PX4tMhttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&refer=us&sid=aUrnId2PX4tM
Crude Oil Reaches a Record on Concern Over U.S. Fuel Supplies
April 4 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil climbed above $58 a barrel in New York, to a record, on speculation that U.S. refiners will be unable to produce enough gasoline to meet peak demand this summer.
U.S. motorists used 2.2 percent more gasoline in the first quarter compared with a year ago, according to Energy Department figures. Increased OPEC production has failed to halt the rally as global consumption grows. U.S. refiners may be unable to process any additional barrels.
``The biggest factor in the oil price during the next four- to-six weeks will be gasoline,'' said Bill O'Grady, director of fundamental futures research with A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. in St. Louis. ``Gasoline supplies are still pretty comfortable but demand looks quite buoyant. Refineries tend to blow up at this time of year as repairs are finished and production picks up.''
Crude oil for May delivery rose 48 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $57.75 a barrel at 12:01 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil touched $58.28 a barrel, the highest since trading began in 1983. Prices have risen 7 percent in the last three sessions and are 67 percent higher than a year ago.
Gasoline for May delivery rose 0.1 cent to $1.732 a gallon in New York. Futures touched $1.7491 a gallon, the highest for a contract closest to expiration since the contract began trading in 1984. Gasoline is 61 percent higher than a year ago.
Retail Prices
Retail gasoline prices have gained as refiners pass on their higher costs. Pump prices for regular grade gasoline, averaged nationwide, rose 0.6 cent to a record $2.17 a gallon Friday, according to the AAA, formerly the American Automobile Association.
Oil producers are seeking to expand as prices surge. ChevronTexaco Corp., the second-biggest U.S. oil company, said today it agreed to buy Unocal Corp. for about $16.4 billion. ChevronTexaco's oil reserves may increase by more than 15 percent with Unocal, the country's eighth-largest oil company.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts predict oil may touch $105 in coming years if supplies are disrupted. Bets by speculators that prices will rise, or net-long positions, outnumbered shorts by 73,792 contracts on Nymex the week ended March 29, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission said, up 4,283 from a week earlier. They peaked at 82,451 in March 2004.
OPEC Quotas
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may boost its ceiling by 500,000 barrels a day in May and add as much again in the third quarter, Adnan Shihab-Eldin, the group's acting secretary general said. The group could raise its ceiling by as many as 800,000 barrels a day in the fourth quarter. OPEC members pump about 40 percent of the world's oil.
``We are concerned about the prices,'' Shihab-Eldin said in an interview in Kuwait yesterday. ``We don't want to face a boom- and-bust situation.''
A decision by OPEC to increase production in the second quarter, when demand typically declines, would signal a shift in strategy, with the group allowing inventories to increase for use later in the year, creating a buffer against potential shortages.
OPEC crude oil production probably rose by 100,000 barrels a day last month, led by increases from Iraq, helping to compensate for a drop in Saudi Arabia's output, according to a preliminary estimate by PetroLogistics Ltd.
The 11-nation Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries probably pumped 29.5 million barrels a day in March, Conrad Gerber, the president of the Geneva-based company, which assesses supply by tracking tankers, said in a telephone interview today.
In London, the May Brent crude-oil futures contract rose 76 cents, or 1.3 percent, to $57.27 a barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange. Brent futures reached $57.65 a barrel, the highest since the contract was introduced in 1988. Prices are 90 percent higher than a year ago. Last Updated: April 4, 2005 12:16 EDT
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