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New York Gasoline Futures Tumble: World's Biggest Mover
Oct. 5 (Bloomberg) -- Gasoline futures in New York fell for a fifth session on indications that demand is ebbing because of high prices at the pump. The 5.4 percent decline was the biggest fluctuation of any commodity market today.
Gasoline demand over the past four weeks averaged almost 8.8 million barrels a day, 2.6 percent below the same period last year, the U.S. Energy Department said in a weekly report today. Eight states, including California and Virginia, have average retail gasoline prices above $3 a gallon, according to AAA, the nation's largest motorist organization.
``Demand is reaching the softest point of the year,'' said James Cordier, president of Liberty trading group in Tampa, Florida. Gasoline supplies, which fell 4.3 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 30, are not a factor in the market now, Cordier said. ``We're not trading supply, we're trading demand.''
Gasoline for November delivery fell 10.79 cents to $1.9078 a gallon on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was the biggest one-day drop since Sept. 16. Prices have fallen 35 percent since reaching a record $2.92 a gallon on Aug. 31, after Hurricane Katrina shut about 10 percent of U.S. refining capacity.
Losses accelerated after gasoline fell below two key price levels, according to traders who use charts, graphs and other indicators to signal price moves. Those prices were $1.9758 a gallon and then $1.9238 a gallon, said Al Bicoff, president of Technical Analytics Inc. in Highland Park, Illinois.
Once the price falls below such technical levels it signals to traders that more declines are in store, Bicoff said.
``Gasoline definitely has taken a big move,'' said Bill Vitro, a trader for Castle Oil in New York.
Retail Prices
The average retail gasoline price in the U.S. jumped to a record $3.057 on Sept. 2, four days after Katrina came ashore. Pump prices averaged $2.941 a gallon yesterday, a 52 percent increase over the past year, according to the motorists' organization AAA.
Traders are ``worried about the effect of high prices on demand,'' said Andy Lebow, a broker with Man Financial Inc. in New York. It remains to be seen if ``these twin hurricanes have dealt a blow to the economy.''
About 18 percent of U.S. refining capacity is shut, after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita damaged plants or cut their power. Gasoline production last week fell about 1.1 million barrels, or 12.6 percent, the largest drop in 16 years, according to Energy Department data.
``The market is still remarkably relaxed over this continued loss of refining capacity,'' Lebow said.
Record Imports
Imports of gasoline, including both finished fuel and gasoline blending components, rose to a record last week. In the wake of Hurricane Katrina, European countries promised to send gasoline to the U.S. to help make up for lost refining. Imports averaged more than 1.4 million barrels per day, the highest weekly average ever, the energy Department said.
Heating oil for November delivery fell 3.49 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $2.0148 a gallon on the Nymex. Futures prices, which set wholesale levels for distributors, have increased 43 percent from a year ago.
Lebow said it remains to be seen if, over the next two months, heating oil supplies can be built up as the country continues to suffer from reduced refinery output.
``We've lost over 3 million barrels per day of refining capacity,'' he said. ``We'll be making less distillate'' going into the cold season.
Homeowners paid on average $2.694 a gallon for heating oil on Oct. 3, according to the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the Energy Department. Residential prices are up 47 percent from a year ago.
Heating oil inventories rose 332,000 barrels last week, the government said. Supplies of 57.6 million barrels were 12 percent higher than a year earlier, narrower than the 18 percent premium in last week's report.
Crude oil in New York dropped $1.11 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $62.79 a barrel, down 11 percent from a record $70.85 reached on Aug. 30. Last Updated: October 5, 2005 15:12 EDT
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