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Gold 6yr high { January 7 2003 }

Original Source Link: (May no longer be active)
   http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/story/0,3604,869962,00.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/story/0,3604,869962,00.html

Investors go for gold as Iraq digs in

Charlotte Denny
Tuesday January 7, 2003
The Guardian

Rattled investors piled into the haven of gold yesterday after the latest show of defiance from Iraq made war in the Middle East more likely.

hovered near two-year highs and gold prices hit a six-year high as geopolitical worries dominated the world's trading floors.

"Gold should remain firm for some time to come with the threat of war between the US and Iraq and/or North Korea," said James Moore, metals analyst at TheBullionDesk.com.

Gold has risen by nearly 30% over the past year to $356.25 an ounce yesterday, its highest level since March 1997.

Prospects of another Gulf war and fears over further attacks like the September 11, 2001 assaults on US landmarks drove the demand.

"Gold is the current investment of choice ... There is general uncertainty in world affairs and Iraq characterises people's fear of uncertainty," said Peter Hillyard, head of metal sales, Europe for ANZ Invest ment Bank, adding that gold had the potential to go to $375.

Fears that a war against Iraq could add to the pressures on the US economy also undermined the dollar, which hit a three-year low against sterling and brushed last week's multi-year lows against the euro and Swiss franc. Analysts said the dollar was vulnerable to war fears because global investment flows tend to slow when investor worries increase, making it harder for the US to fund its huge current account deficit.

"The geopolitical concerns which continue to intensify will dampen dollar sentiment further," said Mitul Kotecha, head of global foreign exchange research at Credit Agricole Indosuez. "Markets believe we are approaching some sort of action."

Investors jumped on the "sell dollar" bandwagon, knocking the greenback down more than half a per cent to $1.0483 against the euro, a quarter-cent from last week's three-year low. The pound went to $1.61 against the dollar, its highest level since February 2000.




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